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Modelling & Analytics

The types of projects we do:

  • Departmental patient flows
  • Referral rates and capacity assessments
  • Local and system-wide pathway reviews
  • Whole-scale service reviews
  • Service impact-assessments
  • Workforce capacity reviews
  • Care redesign projects
  • OAP / IAPT demand and access streamlined solutions

How we can support our clients

Niche’s modelling and analytics team use modern modelling techniques to provide detailed answers to questions such as:

• How many beds should we have for each of our specialities?
• How do we optimise the balance between community and inpatient services?
• How do we best organise caseloads and care pathways to provide optimum care within our resources?
• How do we minimise waiting times across the system?
• Where should we locate services to optimise access?

All of this is based on detailed analysis of clients’ episodic data. We never assume that all patients are the same, or that everyone has the average length of stay or the average number of contacts. We capture and consider the full range of variance in the real world – to give you answers which are robust, risk-profiled, and pragmatic.


We use our own bespoke discrete event simulation modelling tool ‘Sim:pathy’, which helps our clients to deliver services which are:

  • Safer, ensuring early and local access to services for people needing it – reducing out of area treatments to an absolute minimum – and improving recovery to help people stay well.
  • Financially sustainable, making best use of the money and workforce available.
  • Effective, more responsive to patients’ preferences, and better able to handle future demand.

Our techniques & approach

Our productivity improvement techniques are used to analyse and evaluate how each element of a delivery system is performing. This can be applied to a single service or across a whole system or pathway. Our approach to such work is based on strong engagement with client organisations and their stakeholders and we help to identify how patients currently move through services. We can generate probabilistic scenarios on referrals, variable frequencies and characteristics to support the development of service models, workforce strategies and new care models. We test ideas many times over to ensure that they are effective and will meet your needs and those of your care delivery partners.

We help clients to optimise the value of what they do to create improved outcomes. Importantly, our work can help organisations to make better strategic decisions and to ensure that staff and services are able to line up coherently towards the delivery of the plan.

Please contact James at for more information.

Sussex Partnership NHS Foundation Trust – How we used simulation modelling to assess capacity, demand and patient flow

Sim:pathy –  Modelling future-ready community mental health services

Our newest development of our simulation modelling approach, Simpathy for...

Get in touch

If you have any questions or need further information, please don’t hesitate to contact us - we’d love to help!

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